Egypt vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 2
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
2 - 0
UGA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
EGY
1 - 2
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CMR
1 - 1
EGY
43%
29%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 3
SEN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 2
COD
57%
25%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
GER
4 - 2
RSA
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
BFA
3 - 1
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
ISL
4 - 1
RSA
45%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |