Egypt vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 1
COD
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
2 - 2
EGY
15%
21%
64%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 2
GHA
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 2
MOZ
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 0
TAN
85%
12%
4%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 1
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NZL
1 - 1
COD
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SWE
4 - 1
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |