Egypt vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
EGY
2 - 0
CSK
29%
30%
41%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1991 |
EGY
1 - 1
ROU
35%
29%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1991 |
EGY
3 - 1
ROU
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1991 |
EGY
0 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1991 |
EGY
4 - 0
POL
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOR
75%
19%
7%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
HUN
0 - 0
NOR
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
NOR
2 - 3
CSK
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
NOR
0 - 1
SUN
24%
29%
48%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1991 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |