Egypt vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 4
EGY
15%
27%
59%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 0
EGY
28%
29%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
MTN
97%
2%
0%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NAM
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
MOZ
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 1
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
NAM
3 - 0
MOZ
40%
25%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MOZ
4 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |