Egypt vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBY
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
1 - 2
RSA
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 2
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
2 - 0
UGA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ANG
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZIM
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
COD
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 0
CMR
47%
27%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |