Egypt vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
23.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1990 |
ROU
1 - 0
EGY
66%
22%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
SCO
1 - 3
EGY
65%
23%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
DDR
2 - 0
EGY
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
CSK
0 - 1
EGY
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
EGY
1 - 3
ROU
33%
29%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1990 |
COL
2 - 1
POL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
MEX
2 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1990 |
COL
0 - 0
SUN
21%
29%
49%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
USA
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |