Egypt vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
96.6%
Win probability
4.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.5%
8-0
2.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
3.2%
7-0
5.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
6.2%
6-0
9.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
10.5%
5-0
13.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
15.3%
4-0
15.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
18.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
2.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
1.1%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
2.6%
0.4%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.4%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
COD
84%
12%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
5 - 0
KEN
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
MWI
17%
21%
63%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
TAN
19%
22%
60%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
MWI
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
TUN
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |