Egypt vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 0
EGY
6%
20%
74%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 1
SLE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
EGY
6 - 3
COD
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ENG
3 - 1
EGY
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 1
EGY
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
1 - 2
AUS
51%
26%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SUI
0 - 0
AUS
52%
26%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SVN
2 - 0
AUS
38%
28%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 1
SRB
53%
25%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |