Egypt vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
3 - 0
NAM
96%
4%
1%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
EGY
2 - 1
KSA
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
EGY
0 - 0
LBY
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EGY
1 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 0
EGY
4%
19%
77%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ALG
3 - 2
MLI
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MLI
2 - 3
SEN
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
TOG
0 - 2
MLI
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BFA
2 - 3
MLI
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MLI
6 - 0
SLE
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |