Egypt vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EGY
1 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 0
EGY
4%
19%
77%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
KWT
1 - 1
EGY
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MTN
1 - 1
EGY
3%
18%
79%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
KSA
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 0
LBY
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
COD
1 - 1
LBY
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |