Egypt vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
KSA
0 - 1
EGY
46%
28%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 0
BEL
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 1
EGY
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
EGY
1 - 1
BGR
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
LBY
1 - 0
JOR
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 1
NGA
31%
30%
40%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
LBY
2 - 1
EGY
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LBY
4 - 1
BEN
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 1
LBY
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |