Ecuador vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ECU
5 - 0
SLV
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
ECU
67%
19%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 1
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
URU
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLV
75%
18%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
GTM
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |