Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
DEN
1 - 2
ENG
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 19 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1972 |
DEN
0 - 1
ALE
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 11 | 64 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 4
DEN
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
FIN
0 - 0
NOR
49%
22%
29%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
WAL
3 - 0
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 4
ROU
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
DEN
0 - 0
FIN
76%
13%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
31%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |