Denmark vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
DEN
39%
27%
34%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
NED
1 - 1
DEN
62%
22%
16%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 1
CZE
48%
26%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SVN
1 - 2
DEN
19%
26%
56%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
GER
0 - 1
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
RUS
0 - 3
ESP
10%
17%
74%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
GRC
1 - 2
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 2
ESP
11%
18%
70%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |