Denmark vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
4 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
94 | 24 | 70 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
45%
26%
29%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 4
IRL
57%
24%
19%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LVA
0 - 2
DEN
12%
22%
66%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
DEN
0 - 3
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
LVA
84%
13%
3%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LIE
0 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
82%
|
98 | 24 | 74 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LVA
0 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
71%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |