Croatia vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ROU
0 - 1
CRO
55%
25%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
CRO
25%
25%
50%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
MKD
2 - 3
ISR
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 2
MKD
92%
7%
1%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MKD
1 - 2
TUR
28%
27%
44%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
MKD
5 - 0
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |