Croatia vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
KAZ
1 - 2
CRO
14%
22%
65%
|
94 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 2
QAT
76%
17%
7%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
5 - 1
CRO
65%
21%
14%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
BLR
74%
18%
8%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BLR
1 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
WAL
9%
21%
70%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
AZE
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
FIN
13%
22%
65%
|
26 | 86 | 60 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
5%
|
26 | 93 | 67 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 3
POR
13%
23%
65%
|
26 | 95 | 69 | 0 |