Croatia vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 0
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
NED
2 - 4
CRO
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
CRO
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 3
TUR
10%
21%
69%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 0
LVA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
IRL
3 - 2
LVA
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AND
1 - 1
LVA
12%
21%
67%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |