Croatia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 1
SCO
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
CZE
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ENG
1 - 0
CRO
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
CRO
72%
17%
12%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
ARM
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
SVK
0 - 5
ESP
9%
16%
74%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
POL
77%
15%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |