Croatia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
JOR
81%
14%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 0
ENG
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
CRO
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 2
CRO
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 3
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 4
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ENG
1 - 2
ESP
31%
25%
43%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
77%
15%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |