Comoros vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
GHA
9%
21%
69%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COM
4 - 2
CTA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CPV
1 - 2
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
ZAM
8%
15%
78%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 0
KWT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
UGA
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 0
UGA
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |