Comoros vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
78.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
LBY
10%
20%
70%
|
10 | 74 | 64 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LBY
3 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 74 | 64 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 0
COM
83%
13%
5%
|
10 | 77 | 67 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZAM
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
4 - 0
ZAM
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |