African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 1-3
Comoros vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NAM
0 - 1
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
COM
0 - 2
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CIV
3 - 1
COM
91%
7%
2%
|
40 | 85 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
COM
1 - 2
MWI
14%
26%
61%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
TOG
1 - 0
BEN
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
TOG
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOG
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TOG
1 - 4
ALG
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GAM
0 - 1
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |