Comoros vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 0
COM
83%
13%
5%
|
10 | 77 | 67 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
3 - 0
COM
74%
17%
9%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SYC
1 - 2
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MOZ
0 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
MOZ
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 94 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MOZ
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |