AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 1-2
Comoros vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
KEN
1 - 0
COM
78%
15%
6%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BFA
1 - 1
COM
86%
11%
4%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MOZ
4 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
KEN
1 - 0
COM
78%
15%
6%
|
60 | 11 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAM
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SWZ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |