African WC Qual. 1st and 2nd Round Final
Global 0-2
Comoros vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
81.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
18.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
14%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
COM
76%
18%
7%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
LSO
8%
16%
77%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
12 | 71 | 59 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
ZIM
7%
16%
77%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 0
GHA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 1
CIV
36%
26%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
GHA
35%
29%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 1
GHA
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 3
GHA
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |