Comoros vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
COM
0 - 3
MLI
15%
24%
62%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
COM
0 - 2
MWI
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
MAD
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 2
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GHA
5 - 0
CHA
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
COD
9%
17%
75%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CIV
4 - 0
CHA
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SLE
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |