AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-1
Comoros vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
15 | 64 | 49 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 0
COM
87%
11%
3%
|
15 | 71 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
BFA
7%
16%
78%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
COM
81%
15%
5%
|
15 | 63 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
MWI
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
GHA
10%
21%
69%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |