Comoros vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
MAD
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 2
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
TUN
16%
24%
61%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
COM
74%
19%
7%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 1
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
MWI
3 - 0
BFA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
MWI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 1
SEN
10%
22%
68%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SEN
4 - 0
MWI
86%
12%
3%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
3 - 1
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |