Comoros vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
2 - 0
COM
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
MUS
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CMR
3 - 0
COM
87%
11%
3%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
MWI
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MWI
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MWI
3 - 0
SYC
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |