Comoros vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
COM
92%
6%
1%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
CMR
6%
17%
76%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MWI
0 - 0
CMR
13%
24%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CMR
1 - 0
MWI
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
MWI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
MWI
79%
16%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 0
MWI
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |