Comoros vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 3
NAM
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COM
0 - 4
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | +2 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
MWI
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
MWI
0 - 0
KEN
41%
25%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MWI
1 - 0
EGY
18%
28%
54%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
COD
1 - 0
MWI
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |