African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 2-10
Comoros vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
2 - 0
COM
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 0
COD
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CIV
5 - 0
MAD
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |