African Nations Championship 1/16
Global 2-1
Comoros vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
78.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TOG
2 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 1
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
MUS
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +8 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
TAN
0 - 0
LSO
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
3 - 4
ZIM
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
TAN
1 - 1
LSO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
MTN
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |