Comoros vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 0
COM
91%
8%
1%
|
14 | 83 | 69 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
GHA
5%
14%
81%
|
13 | 84 | 71 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
COM
76%
18%
7%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
LSO
8%
16%
77%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
12 | 71 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 3
ETH
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |