Comoros vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
LSO
15%
22%
64%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MWI
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 3
NAM
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COM
0 - 4
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CHN
4 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
IRN
15%
26%
60%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
NZL
26%
25%
48%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |