Colombia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
DEU
0 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
IRQ
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 2
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
GTM
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UZB
1 - 1
VEN
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 1
SAU
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
SYR
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |