Colombia vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
PER
3 - 3
PRY
55%
24%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 1
PER
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |