Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
COL
47%
27%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COL
2 - 0
CRC
62%
21%
17%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
71%
18%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |