Chile vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
5 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
PER
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
HTI
86%
11%
4%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
MEX
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
URU
3 - 3
CRC
65%
20%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
OMA
0 - 3
URU
12%
21%
68%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
KSA
1 - 1
URU
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
URU
25%
25%
51%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
JPN
0 - 2
URU
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |