Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
61%
23%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 4
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 2
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 2
PAR
40%
27%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
24%
26%
51%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |