Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
6 - 1
PAN
63%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 2
VEN
53%
23%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ECU
2 - 1
VEN
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
BOL
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |