Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
CHI
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
6 - 0
IRQ
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 0
URU
37%
25%
38%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
ECU
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
55%
25%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
11%
18%
72%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |