Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 1
CHL
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 2
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 2
ECU
55%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
PRY
0 - 1
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
3 - 0
VEN
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
URY
0 - 1
ARG
31%
26%
43%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ARG
3 - 0
URY
64%
20%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
PRY
0 - 0
ARG
14%
22%
64%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |