Chad vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
CIV
7%
18%
75%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
COM
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
CTA
1 - 0
CHA
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 2
SLE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
ZAM
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
ZAM
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |