Chad vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
1 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 1
CHA
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2005 |
SDN
4 - 1
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SYC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
MWI
1 - 3
ZAM
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ZIM
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
BOT
5 - 4
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |