African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 1-3
Chad vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EQG
2 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 3
EQG
24%
21%
55%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
TAN
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
94%
5%
1%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 4
EQG
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
SDN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
SEN
18%
25%
56%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SEN
3 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 0
SDN
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |