Chad vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SDN
1 - 2
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
3 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
MLI
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SDN
1 - 2
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SDN
4 - 0
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MLI
3 - 0
SDN
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SDN
3 - 2
MLI
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
SDN
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |