Chad vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
LIE
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
RSA
1 - 1
SWZ
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
EGY
1 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ZAM
0 - 1
RSA
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 0
CGO
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NAM
0 - 1
RSA
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |