Chad vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.9%
10.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZAM
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
4 - 1
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 70 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
4 - 0
LIE
92%
7%
2%
|
24 | 87 | 63 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 4
DEN
6%
16%
78%
|
24 | 95 | 71 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 2
AUT
3%
10%
87%
|
24 | 88 | 64 | 0 |